Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Orbital Dynamics

Futures · Forex · Started Nov 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.2%
Max Drawdown
5.8%
Trades
58
Win Trades
53.4%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
1.2%

About this strategy

Orbital Dynamics uses an advanced hybrid of fundamental and technical analysis to make strategic and tactical trading decisions. It is manually traded, FIFO compliant and utilizes a strict risk management system. Depending on market conditions and opportunities, trades may be tactical and held for short periods (hours) or positional and held for longer periods (days or weeks). Orbital Dynamics looks for quality versus quantity and attempts to maintain a minimum reward:risk ratio of 1 or better on every trade.

Momentum Macro / Fundamental

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20192.5-2.6-0.2
2020-1.4-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-1.4
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/4/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$40,000
Age84 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades58
# Profitable31
% Profitable53.4%
Avg trade duration1.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown5.8%
drawdown periodDec 02, 2019 - Feb 05, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)-0.2%
Avg win$171
Avg loss$203

Ratios

W:L ratio0.97
Sharpe Ratio-1.37
Sortino Ratio-1.82
Calmar Ratio-0.01

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life151.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-153.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$203
Avg Win$171
# Winners31
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,468
Sum Trade PL (winners)$5,295
Num Months Winners1
# Losers27
% Winners53.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table83

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2791.25
Avg Position Time (hrs)46.52
Avg Trade Length1.90
Last Trade Ago2425

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.70
Daily leverage (max)5.08

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index14.60

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-68.21
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.69
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.83
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.36
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.03
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.12
df79
t-5.52
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.94
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.29
Sortino ratio-2.15
Upside Potential Ratio0.26
Upside part of mean0.00
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms78
N of observations80
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance-0.00
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error78
t(b)-0.73
p(b)0.77
t(a)-5.23
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)4.49
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.12
df79
t-5.53
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.29
Sortino ratio-2.14
Upside Potential Ratio0.26
Upside part of mean0.00
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms78
N of observations80
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance-0.00
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error78
t(b)-0.74
p(b)0.77
t(a)-5.28
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)4.44
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.28
df1748
t-5.88
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.51
Sortino ratio-3.08
Upside Potential Ratio1.39
Upside part of mean0.01
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms1723
N of observations1749
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance0
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error1747
t(b)-0.07
p(b)0.50
t(a)-5.87
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)261.66
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.28
df1748
t-5.90
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.52
Sortino ratio-3.07
Upside Potential Ratio1.38
Upside part of mean0.01
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms1723
N of observations1749
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance0
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error1747
t(b)-0.07
p(b)0.50
t(a)-5.89
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)262.79
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6816094845140992
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.06538976690959e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations80
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1749
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low31
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high26
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-398853792
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)65
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.02
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.05
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.31
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/JPY short70Feb 4, 2020Feb 6, 2020$99
GBP/JPY long50Jan 27, 2020Jan 30, 2020($58)
USD/JPY long50Jan 27, 2020Jan 30, 2020($108)
CAD/JPY long50Jan 27, 2020Jan 30, 2020($221)
EUR/CAD long100Jan 22, 2020Jan 22, 2020$211
GBP/AUD short70Jan 22, 2020Jan 22, 2020($602)
EUR/CHF long50Jan 8, 2020Jan 15, 2020($426)
GBP/AUD short70Jan 7, 2020Jan 8, 2020$56
NZD/USD short50Jan 3, 2020Jan 3, 2020($7)
USD/CHF long100Jan 2, 2020Jan 3, 2020$356
EUR/USD short50Jan 2, 2020Jan 3, 2020$221
GBP/CAD short50Jan 3, 2020Jan 3, 2020$157
EUR/GBP short70Dec 19, 2019Dec 20, 2019$345
EUR/CHF long100Dec 19, 2019Dec 20, 2019($27)
NZD/JPY short70Dec 18, 2019Dec 20, 2019($86)
GBP/CAD long70Dec 18, 2019Dec 19, 2019($415)
GBP/JPY long50Dec 18, 2019Dec 19, 2019($374)
USD/JPY short50Dec 16, 2019Dec 18, 2019($8)
AUD/NZD long50Dec 16, 2019Dec 18, 2019($16)
EUR/CAD long50Dec 16, 2019Dec 18, 2019($248)
EUR/USD short50Dec 17, 2019Dec 18, 2019$73
EUR/GBP long50Dec 16, 2019Dec 17, 2019$758
GBP/CAD short50Dec 12, 2019Dec 13, 2019$134
AUD/NZD long50Dec 9, 2019Dec 13, 2019$88
CHF/JPY short50Dec 3, 2019Dec 12, 2019($304)
USD/CHF long50Dec 11, 2019Dec 12, 2019$78
GBP/USD short70Dec 4, 2019Dec 10, 2019($496)
AUD/NZD long50Dec 2, 2019Dec 4, 2019($62)
GBP/CAD short50Dec 2, 2019Dec 4, 2019($486)
GBP/CAD short50Nov 27, 2019Nov 29, 2019($12)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.