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Premium Collecting70

Options · Options · Started Oct 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
53.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
299
Win Trades
61.9%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
13.1%

About this strategy

This strategy will benefit from overstated options pricing by selling call and put options to collect premium. A 70% or higher probability will be used to enter each trade. Strangles, and iron condors are used during earnings.

Premium Collecting

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-9.94.413.36.7
20202.83.931.85.02.0-3.611.3-4.411.2-0.7-11.46.961.8
20213.9-0.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.03.7
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/20/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age85 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades299
# Profitable185
% Profitable61.9%
Avg trade duration11.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodMarch 18, 2020 - March 18, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)53.0%
Avg win$300
Avg loss$398

Ratios

W:L ratio1.20
Sharpe Ratio0.07
Sortino Ratio0.11
Calmar Ratio0.40

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.44
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life160.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)51.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)53.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)9.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity7.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered1.9%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss2.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)764
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$398
Avg Win$300
# Winners185
Sum Trade PL (losers)$45,330
Sum Trade PL (winners)$55,587
Num Months Winners11
# Losers114
% Winners61.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct-1038

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table84

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)16209.62
Avg Position Time (hrs)270.16
Avg Trade Length11.30
Last Trade Ago2084

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)5.57
Daily leverage (max)23.37

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.93
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.07
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades12.54
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.02
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.55
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.59
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.08

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.58
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.73
df14
t2.04
p0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.59
Sortino ratio4.25
Upside Potential Ratio5.52
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms4
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.58
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance-0.05
r-0.53
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.71
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error13
t(b)-2.26
p(b)0.82
t(a)2.77
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.07
Jensen alpha (a)0.71
Mean0.52
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.62
df14
t1.92
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.48
Sortino ratio3.62
Upside Potential Ratio4.89
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-0.18
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms4
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance-0.05
r-0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.61
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error13
t(b)-2.15
p(b)0.81
t(a)2.47
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.14
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.61
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean2744.78
SD3148.83
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df344
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.58
Sortino ratio2829.91
Upside Potential Ratio2832.65
Upside part of mean2747.43
Downside part of mean-2.66
Upside SD3148.83
Downside SD0.97
N nonnegative terms212
N negative terms133
N of observations345
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion2744.78
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion3148.83
Covariance10.63
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)113.89
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1836.49
Mean Square Error9942806
DF error343
t(b)0.20
p(b)0.42
t(a)0.99
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-980.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1208.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2691.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha8129.42
Treynor index (mean / b)24.10
Jensen alpha (a)2718.91
Mean0.50
SD10.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df344
t0.05
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.76
Sortino ratio0.07
Upside Potential Ratio1.20
Upside part of mean9.07
Downside part of mean-8.57
Upside SD7.20
Downside SD7.55
N nonnegative terms212
N negative terms133
N of observations345
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.50
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion10.45
Covariance0.42
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.44
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.30
Mean Square Error107.58
DF error343
t(b)2.44
p(b)0.01
t(a)-0.03
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta8.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-18.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha17.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.11
Jensen alpha (a)-0.30
VaR(95%)0.65
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.73
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.21
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.79
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.79
df130
t0.56
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.98
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.56
Sortino ratio1.14
Upside Potential Ratio8.40
Upside part of mean1.56
Downside part of mean-1.35
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms45
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.25
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance-0.01
r-0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.29
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)-2.35
p(b)0.63
t(a)0.78
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.68
Jensen alpha (a)0.29
Mean0.18
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.66
df130
t0.47
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.43
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.43
Sortino ratio0.93
Upside Potential Ratio8.16
Upside part of mean1.54
Downside part of mean-1.37
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms45
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance-0.01
r-0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.25
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)-2.36
p(b)0.63
t(a)0.67
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.57
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.99
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.57
Jensen alpha (a)0.25
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.88
Quartile 11.00
Median1.04
Quartile 31.08
Maximum1.21
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.16
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.91
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations345
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum3614.33
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 443.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low21
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high329.71
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.85
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.21
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.76
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations131
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.05
Median0.09
Quartile 30.11
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.09
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations24
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.07
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.26
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.89
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.26
Expected Shortfall (moments method)2.28
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.39
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-274919072
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)26
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.74
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.69
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)5.57
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.57
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.36
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.70
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.64
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.49
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.88
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.19
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.40
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.88

Trading record

Placed 26 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CCL2119B30 short5Dec 24, 2020Jan 15, 2021$168
WBA2119B37.5 long1Dec 24, 2020Jan 13, 2021$783
WBA2119B40 short1Dec 24, 2020Jan 13, 2021($709)
ZM2115M330 long1Dec 24, 2020Jan 13, 2021($464)
ZM2115M340 short1Dec 24, 2020Jan 13, 2021$623
CCL2119N15 short5Dec 24, 2020Jan 8, 2021$88
XL2115A35 long1Dec 24, 2020Dec 31, 2020($277)
XL2115A30 short1Dec 24, 2020Dec 31, 2020$343
BABA2115M190 long1Dec 24, 2020Dec 31, 2020($362)
BABA2115M195 short1Dec 24, 2020Dec 31, 2020$444
COST long3Dec 24, 2020Dec 24, 2020($0)
COST short100Oct 3, 2020Dec 24, 2020($1,966)
COST2018X370 short1Nov 18, 2020Dec 10, 2020$147
COST2018X360 short1Nov 11, 2020Nov 18, 2020$298
COST2018L370 short1Nov 9, 2020Nov 9, 2020$93
COST2020W340 short1Oct 30, 2020Nov 5, 2020$450
EWW2020W32 short1Oct 5, 2020Oct 14, 2020$44
EWW2020K37 short1Oct 5, 2020Oct 14, 2020($28)
QQQ2020W270 short1Oct 5, 2020Oct 13, 2020$583
QQQ2020W267 long1Oct 5, 2020Oct 13, 2020($545)
NKE2016V120 short1Sep 23, 2020Oct 5, 2020$110
DKNG2020K80 short1Sep 28, 2020Oct 5, 2020($32)
DKNG2020W65 short1Sep 28, 2020Oct 5, 2020$98
SFIX2020K32 short1Sep 28, 2020Oct 5, 2020($29)
SFIX2020K25 long1Sep 28, 2020Oct 5, 2020$38
COST2002J345 short1Sep 25, 2020Oct 3, 2020$269
COST2002J370 long1Sep 25, 2020Oct 3, 2020($27)
SLV short100Oct 1, 2020Oct 1, 2020($502)
SFIX2025I32 long1Sep 22, 2020Sep 26, 2020($201)
SFIX2025I35 short2Sep 22, 2020Sep 26, 2020$203

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.