Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Shining Delta Capital

Equity · Stocks · Started Aug 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.2%
Max Drawdown
21.0%
Trades
28
Win Trades
39.3%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
4.7%

About this strategy

Welcome to Shining Delta Capital, a long term profitable strategy.
I have been trading for years in my own account this way (I will let the numbers show proof of the quality).
There will be only long positions (no shorting) and only stocks without any gearing (In the summary statistic column (on the right side next to the chart) there is a small button next to the leverage text, press that one to see how much leverage which have been used with the strategy on the chart).

This is an investing strategy, meaning I focus on buying solid companies (with good timing).

Make sure that when you subscribe; you have all the stocks in the portfolio, normally 1-3 stocks will go 50-100%+ each year (in other words, don't wait for a trade signal when you start copying signals or you might miss out on the big fish...). I also highly recommend not to exit before a signal is given (chances are you will miss out on percerntages, I know it's tempting to take a profit early but try not to do so :) ).

When, or if there is a liquidity problem in the future (even though we trade in "good liquidity" companies) I will not allow any new subscribers. Anyhow, if that happens I will start up a new strategy here in C2 which won't overlap with this one.

I recommend gearing x2 if you invest between 10-20k, this is because you need to overcome the costs of the fees connected with trading (C2 costs, percentage interest rates from the broker when gearing especially). Do not invest if you have less than 10k.... If you have more money to invest (20k+) the % costs decreases substantially and gearing is not really necessary unless you can tolerate more volatility. It's important for me that investors stay in for the long haul, and for that to happen we all need to make money.

You can put on trades manually with this system and save some money, if you do this make sure you put on the trades the same day (towards closing time is a good time to buy and sell). When you subscribe and if I change the price you will get a coupon/discount (so you pay the same price as you have when first subscribing).

Let's make money together!

Yours Sincerely, Larsen.

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20196.7-1.74.55.35.121.3
2020-6.0-4.0-7.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-16.2
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/3/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age87 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades28
# Profitable11
% Profitable39.3%
Avg trade duration38.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown21.0%
drawdown periodFeb 20, 2020 - March 12, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)0.2%
Avg win$1,274
Avg loss$732

Ratios

W:L ratio1.16
Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Sortino Ratio-0.27
Calmar Ratio0.13

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.20
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life161.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-157.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity26.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss2.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$732
Avg Win$1,274
# Winners11
Sum Trade PL (losers)$12,440
Sum Trade PL (winners)$14,019
Num Months Winners4
# Losers17
% Winners39.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct367

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table86

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)55929.85
Avg Position Time (hrs)932.16
Avg Trade Length38.80
Last Trade Ago2373

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.95
Daily leverage (max)1.06

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.06
Treynor Index-0.07

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades11.97
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.77
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.11
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.40
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.08

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.01
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df17
t0.08
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.66
Sortino ratio0.09
Upside Potential Ratio1.34
Upside part of mean0.17
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms14
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.73
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.02
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error16
t(b)1.36
p(b)0.34
t(a)-0.59
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
Mean-0.00
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.02
df17
t-0.02
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.62
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.58
Sortino ratio-0.03
Upside Potential Ratio1.20
Upside part of mean0.16
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms14
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.64
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.03
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.12
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error16
t(b)1.65
p(b)0.31
t(a)-0.75
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.02
Jensen alpha (a)-0.12
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.00
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.03
df393
t0.04
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.56
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.63
Sortino ratio0.04
Upside Potential Ratio4.80
Upside part of mean0.47
Downside part of mean-0.46
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms85
N negative terms309
N of observations394
Mean of predictor0.70
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error392
t(b)4.47
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.45
p(a)0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)0.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean-0.00
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.03
df393
t-0.03
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.57
Sortino ratio-0.04
Upside Potential Ratio4.69
Upside part of mean0.47
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms85
N negative terms309
N of observations394
Mean of predictor0.63
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error392
t(b)4.53
p(b)0
t(a)-0.48
p(a)0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.05
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.00
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.89
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6817365081718784
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-9.7311100838742e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations18
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.13
Number of observations394
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low70
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high87
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.06
Median0.10
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations14
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.49
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-434519168
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)21
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.15
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.15
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.25
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.13
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.26
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.54
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 7 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CSGP long16Feb 25, 2020Mar 12, 2020($1,158)
LK long300Feb 18, 2020Mar 10, 2020($1,011)
NFLX long34Jan 7, 2020Mar 10, 2020$880
DXCM long40Feb 28, 2020Mar 10, 2020($217)
SQ long131Feb 28, 2020Mar 6, 2020($1,565)
LOW long100Feb 4, 2020Feb 28, 2020($1,368)
DLR long87Feb 25, 2020Feb 28, 2020($1,207)
AMD long240Jan 28, 2020Feb 25, 2020($666)
FCX long1006Feb 4, 2020Feb 25, 2020($1,263)
GS long50Feb 11, 2020Feb 18, 2020($287)
NKE long110Dec 26, 2019Feb 11, 2020($103)
MU long206Jan 21, 2020Feb 4, 2020($646)
W long116Jan 14, 2020Feb 4, 2020($495)
LVS long178Oct 25, 2019Jan 28, 2020$548
DIS long78Nov 12, 2019Jan 21, 2020$380
AMD long342Oct 18, 2019Jan 14, 2020$5,988
ISRG long19Oct 18, 2019Jan 7, 2020$442
WMT long96Nov 26, 2019Dec 26, 2019$54
LRCX long52Aug 5, 2019Nov 26, 2019$3,921
TMUS long131Aug 5, 2019Nov 12, 2019$318
XEL long165Oct 2, 2019Oct 25, 2019$114
FIS long77Aug 6, 2019Oct 18, 2019($228)
NOC long30Sep 30, 2019Oct 18, 2019($817)
SPGI long41Aug 5, 2019Oct 2, 2019($264)
AMRN long650Sep 4, 2019Sep 30, 2019($759)
TTD long41Aug 26, 2019Sep 4, 2019($429)
TTWO long87Aug 5, 2019Aug 26, 2019$1,299
ALGN long53Aug 5, 2019Aug 6, 2019$49

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.